Published 15 Apr 2026, 14:45 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
In reply to · 15 Apr 2026, 14:43 UTC · context given to the AI
Up to ~6.8 million #Bitcoin currently sit in quantum vulnerable wallets. That's ~$500B worth of risk for $BTC the market has priced in. It's one of the major reasons people cite for the recent dip and underperformance BTC has had vs. other commodities. What happens if that risk goes away? If BIP-361 (or something similar down the road) passes, rather than worrying about a massive liquidation cascade, the total supply of Bitcoin would effectively be reduced by a large %. What's currently priced in as a massive risk factor - would all of a sudden become a massive supply reduction. BTC becomes verifiably more scarce, and is protected from extractors and bad actors. When you look at the incentive factor alone, I think this outcome is much more likely than people are currently giving it credit for. It'll obviously be hotly debated - but I think there's good evidential support this is what Satoshi would have wanted. And as hope and momentum replace fear and doubt, the price of Bitcoin will reflect it. You're still early. Be more bullish.One clarification I should have stated - the realistic estimate for how much BTC is in old satoshi era wallets that most likely won't be migrated is closer to 2 million, which is still ~10% of the supply and hundreds of billions of dollars.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
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