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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2044466167834628289:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Apr 2026, 17:21 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC 2 months in this range and no real clear trend on lower time frames. The 4h EMAs all look pretty good and I think we're pretty close to breakout but still lots of uncertainty w. war. I think this is still the high time frame bottom https://t.co/Fja4plaXcn

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,155 at 15 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,355 at 16 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 74354.86 / 74154.99 − 1 = +0.27%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC 2 months in this range and no real clear trend on lower time frames.”
Confidence: 88%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$74,155

Evaluation price

$74,355

Move

+0.27%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 08:20 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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