Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Apr 2026, 18:16 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:27 UTC

Samson Mow

@Excellion

In reply to · 15 Apr 2026, 08:12 UTC · context given to the AI

@Excellion Read that three times before I noticed the word “NOT”… early here - feel it is likely time when the Omega candle is ready to manifest.

@RichardByworth Strategy’s average price per BTC is the new floor.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,414 at 15 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,052 at 16 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 75052.23 / 74414.4 − 1 = +0.86%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.86% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@RichardByworth Strategy’s average price per BTC is the new floor.”
Confidence: 63%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3