Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,388 at 17 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,149 at 18 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 76148.64 / 77388.01 − 1 = -1.60%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.60% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology