Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,823 at 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,865 at 21 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 75864.86 / 73823.27 − 1 = +2.77%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.77% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology