Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Apr 2026, 12:19 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

Quoting · 20 Apr 2026, 14:26 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC plz let this happen...simple S/R retest and we see 80k+ https://t.co/RK6IUpelM0 https://t.co/jEqwrWLiOy

$BTC yeah I think we'll slowly grind to 85k+ things looking good still https://t.co/KC2CIDZTjO https://t.co/YaQOhmKHTd

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,263 at 22 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,897 at 23 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 77897.23 / 78262.9 − 1 = -0.47%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.47% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC yeah I think we'll slowly grind to 85k+ things looking good still https://t.co/KC2CIDZTjO https://t.co/YaQOhmKHTd”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3