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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2047657881659490512:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Apr 2026, 12:44 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC: The sad reality is that this market goes as Saylor goes...without him, we probably are at 50k or worse. Not much of an organic bid that I can see...hoping this changes. https://t.co/tTiRvY9fl8

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,291 at 24 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,577 at 25 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 77577.02 / 78290.74 − 1 = -0.91%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.91% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC: The sad reality is that this market goes as Saylor goes...without him, we probably are at 50k or worse.”
Confidence: 68%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$78,291

Evaluation price

$77,577

Move

-0.91%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 06:20 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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