Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,108 at 24 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,701 at 25 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 77701.36 / 78107.84 − 1 = -0.52%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.52% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology