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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2049194186516181037:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Apr 2026, 18:29 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

diversification for crypto sucks in bear markets, everything just goes down. sure, maybe ETH wont go down as much as fartcoin but you're rarely going to be properly hedged. you should only diversify in bullish conditions or if you're buying 'the bottom' imo

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,297 at 28 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,238 at 29 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2238.17 / 2296.87 − 1 = -2.56%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.56% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “sure, maybe ETH wont go down as much as fartcoin but you're rarely going to be properly hedged.”
Confidence: 60%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$2,297

Evaluation price

$2,238

Move

-2.56%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 05:19 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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