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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2049758146931929549:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Apr 2026, 07:49 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

Even god can come down and buy $500 Billion Bitcoin and market would still fcking dump. This is state of the market.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,134 at 30 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,108 at 1 May 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 77108.02 / 76134.33 − 1 = +1.28%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.28% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Even god can come down and buy $500 Billion Bitcoin and market would still fcking dump.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$76,134

Evaluation price

$77,108

Move

+1.28%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 15:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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