Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,207 at 1 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,725 at 2 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 78724.69 / 78207.04 − 1 = +0.66%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.66% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology