Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,299 at 2 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,304 at 3 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2303.81 / 2298.7 − 1 = +0.22%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.22% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology