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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2050562182127976571:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 May 2026, 13:04 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

Bitcoin structure looks really good here. - Breakout and retest of 7-month downtrend - Reclaimed 20W EMA for the first time since October 2025 - MACD showing strong momentum How the fuck $BTC is not at $85k already? https://t.co/V5FuG2CJGC

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,368 at 2 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,660 at 3 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 78660 / 78367.81 − 1 = +0.37%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.37% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin structure looks really good here.”
Confidence: 81%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$78,368

Evaluation price

$78,660

Move

+0.37%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 14:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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