Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,725 at 2 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,823 at 3 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 78822.53 / 78724.69 − 1 = +0.12%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.12% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology