Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,552 at 3 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,537 at 4 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 78537.44 / 78551.7 − 1 = -0.02%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.02% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology