Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2051490891336921412:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 May 2026, 02:35 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC next stop probably 90ks with Saylor continuing to buy...? Would be a bit cautious around 200d EMA here but probably doesn't matter as much w. this bid https://t.co/8Ru4Re7xOG

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,550 at 5 May 2026, 03:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,359 at 6 May 2026, 03:00 UTC.
r = 81358.52 / 80549.97 − 1 = +1.00%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.00% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC next stop probably 90ks with Saylor continuing to buy...?”
Confidence: 88%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$80,550

Evaluation price

$81,359

Move

+1.00%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 04:18 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction