Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,650 at 5 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,426 at 6 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 81425.9 / 81650.01 − 1 = -0.27%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.27% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology