Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,431 at 6 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,166 at 7 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 81165.68 / 81430.6 − 1 = -0.33%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.33% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology