Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 May 2026, 12:13 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

In reply to · 7 May 2026, 11:01 UTC · context given to the AI

@AshCrypto You're improving my friend. A few weeks ago you were posting about 50$ moves on Ethereum. Today you are posting about $20 moves. When 5$ dump? 👀

@CryptoGirlNova The reason for highlighting this move is the $81k resistance. We just broke it after 95 days and now we are back below it which means we go much lower if we get rejected from here. Please learn to read. It’s a $2000 move From $82.8k to $80.8k not a $20 move. https://t.co/OVfLbtlXGk

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,333 at 7 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,284 at 8 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 2284.29 / 2332.8 − 1 = -2.08%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@CryptoGirlNova The reason for highlighting this move is the $81k resistance. We just broke it after 95 days and now we are back below it which means we go much lower if we get rejected from here. Please learn to read. It’s a $2000 move From $82.8k to $80.8k not a $20 move. htt”
Confidence: 75%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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