Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,200 at 7 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,076 at 8 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 80075.56 / 80200.12 − 1 = -0.16%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.16% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology