Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,795 at 9 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $78,168 at 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 78168.26 / 80795.4 − 1 = -3.25%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.25% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology