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Leaderboard / @CryptoKaleo / 2053924639596826650:memecoin:$PENGU

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 May 2026, 19:46 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

Cr

K A L E O

@CryptoKaleo

$PENGU looks like it's almost ready for the next leg up. Enjoy the calm while it lasts. https://t.co/PBfqMhWraC

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PENGU price at or after publication, $0.01039 at 11 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.009577 at 12 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 0.009576794721905082 / 0.010394153813056766 − 1 = -7.86%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.86% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PENGU ($PENGU)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PENGU looks like it's almost ready for the next leg up.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.01039

Evaluation price

$0.009577

Move

-7.86%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 02:17 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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