Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,339 at 12 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,274 at 13 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 2274.32 / 2339.48 − 1 = -2.79%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.79% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology