Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,000 at 13 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,779 at 14 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 79779.35 / 80999.9 − 1 = -1.51%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.51% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology