Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,469 at 13 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,212 at 14 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 79212.01 / 80468.97 − 1 = -1.56%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.56% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology