Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,618 at 15 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,048 at 16 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 78047.68 / 80617.67 − 1 = -3.19%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.19% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology