Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,229 at 17 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,179 at 18 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 76179.23 / 78229.15 − 1 = -2.62%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.62% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology