Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,116 at 18 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,123 at 19 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2123.21 / 2116.41 − 1 = +0.32%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.32% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology