Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,133 at 18 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,109 at 19 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 2108.75 / 2132.86 − 1 = -1.13%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.13% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology