Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,362 at 20 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,892 at 21 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 76891.99 / 77362.34 − 1 = -0.61%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.61% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology