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Leaderboard / @travladd / 2058924099624464612:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 May 2026, 14:52 UTC · fetched 21 Oct 2026, 12:57 UTC

tr

Travladd 𐤊

@travladd

Buy pressure at the $75,000 level looks strong for $BTC With institutions stacking a net positive, this range looks strong, $77,000 - $78,600 may range for a while but sooner or later we should be back testing $82,000. https://t.co/V0I3XrJuN3

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,639 at 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,805 at 26 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 76804.55 / 77639.29 − 1 = -1.08%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.08% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Buy pressure at the $75,000 level looks strong for $BTC”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$77,639

Evaluation price

$76,805

Move

-1.08%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 19:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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