Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,814 at 4 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $60,388 at 5 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 60387.86 / 63813.58 − 1 = -5.37%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.37% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology