Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Jun 2026, 15:45 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

In reply to · 15 Jun 2026, 23:53 UTC · context given to the AI

@KookCapitalLLC I sold at $2,150 i hope you get to rub it in my face for real one day

@TrustlessState i dont hold any eth i think selling eth is good hyperliquid

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,781 at 16 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,772 at 17 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 1771.95 / 1780.83 − 1 = -0.50%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.50% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@TrustlessState i dont hold any eth i think selling eth is good”
Confidence: 88%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3