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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2068370038093152746:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Jun 2026, 16:27 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Bitcoin falling into $50k’s will mean two things: - Spot load up on Bitcoin - Hot Altcoin accumulation begins

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,964 at 20 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,066 at 21 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 64065.58 / 63964.49 − 1 = +0.16%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.16% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin falling into $50k’s will mean two things:”
Confidence: 68%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,964

Evaluation price

$64,066

Move

+0.16%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 10:22 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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