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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2069204590826864697:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Jun 2026, 23:43 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

$BTC honestly not looking great on lower time frames but we're still in a choppy regime. 1 day up, 1 day down, no real true trend. This 1d close isn't bullish though imo. https://t.co/qQMudnB8XB

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,951 at 23 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,645 at 24 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 62644.86 / 63950.61 − 1 = -2.04%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.04% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC honestly not looking great on lower time frames but we're still in a choppy regime.”
Confidence: 70%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,951

Evaluation price

$62,645

Move

-2.04%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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