Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $61,634 at 25 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $58,186 at 25 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 58186.39 / 61634.49 − 1 = -5.59%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.59% against a neutral band of ±0.41% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology