Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $61,634 at 25 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $59,639 at 26 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 59638.93 / 61634.49 − 1 = -3.24%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.24% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology