Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $58,186 at 25 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $59,580 at 25 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 59579.95 / 58186.39 − 1 = +2.39%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.39% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology