Published 25 Jun 2026, 21:54 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
MSTR down -24% in this week and broke a support level it held for 830 days. The $100 level that held through every correction since the Bitcoin ETF launched in January 2024 just broke MSTR is trading at $85 after hours and now down -84% from its peak. Let’s compare Bitcoin chart alongside it. Bitcoin is down -54% from its $126k peak. Currently trading below 5% of the weekly MA 200. The same moving average that has marked the bottom of every major Bitcoin bear market in history. Here is the scenario nobody wants to say out loud. MSTR and Bitcoin have moved together since the ETF launched on January 11 2024. MSTR jumped 1,129% and Bitcoin jumped 225% to ATH. If MSTR retests $40 the Bitcoin chart suggests a parallel retest of the post ETF launch support near $42,000. The same level Bitcoin was trading when the ETF changed everything in January 2024. $100 on MSTR and $62,500 on Bitcoin are now the most important levels in the entire crypto. If they do not reclaim these levels fast the next stop is a long way down.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 59826.02 / 60113.94 − 1 = -0.48%d × r = +0.48% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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