Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,493 at 28 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $60,320 at 29 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 60319.82 / 59493.11 − 1 = +1.39%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.39% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology