Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Jun 2026, 10:45 UTC · fetched 21 Oct 2026, 12:57 UTC

Travladd 𐤊

@travladd

In reply to · 29 Jun 2026, 09:55 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC just had its first weekly close below 200W MA in 2.5 years. Time-based capitulation will start now. https://t.co/LuENpxTEMb

@TedPillows Liquidity hunt at 61.7, maybe 63 then capitulation I think.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@crypto_birb @DavidGreatly I believe $38.5-45k range, and I'm getting some shit for that too lol. It absolutely can hit this target, those of us who have watched this market bottom before know that.”Repeat28 Jun 2026, 20:40 UTC
“Decision time, Bitcoin on life support. $BTC https://t.co/kpShDUSGAP”Repeat28 Jun 2026, 22:51 UTC
“bitcoin:native Possible sweep of liqidity at around 61.8, then contination lower. https://t.co/PpjiqRFOCb”Repeat29 Jun 2026, 07:51 UTC
“@CryptoBullGod 38-42 most likely imo”Repeat29 Jun 2026, 09:39 UTC

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@TedPillows Liquidity hunt at 61.7, maybe 63 then capitulation I think.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3