Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $59,865 at 29 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $59,705 at 29 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 59704.76 / 59864.53 − 1 = -0.27%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.27% against a neutral band of ±0.41% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology