Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,626 at 29 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,569 at 30 Jun 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 1568.6 / 1625.76 − 1 = -3.52%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.52% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology