Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $58,629 at 30 Jun 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $59,421 at 1 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 59421.3 / 58629.18 − 1 = +1.35%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.35% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology