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Leaderboard / @CryptoHayes / 2072088938505019480:memecoin:$SYN

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Jun 2026, 22:44 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Arthur Hayes

@CryptoHayes

One Dollar $SYN is within reach, tell me why I'm wrong ... https://t.co/jZXknW941t

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $SYN price at or after publication, $0.5748 at 30 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.5116 at 1 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 0.511575108338387 / 0.57478848875144 − 1 = -11.00%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -11.00% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $SYN ($SYN)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “One Dollar $SYN is within reach, tell me why I'm wrong ...”
Confidence: 73%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.5748

Evaluation price

$0.5116

Move

-11.00%

Neutral threshold

±5.00%

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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