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Published 1 Jul 2026, 17:35 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC
XO
@Trader_XO
Quoting · 27 Jun 2026, 17:40 UTC · context given to the AI
bitcoin:native Sentiment at Feb Highs: 'Euphoric crowd 'Targets of 88-90+ being touted' 'Saylor is net positive for btc- reflexive loop - higher' Sentiment at Feb Lows: 'Sailor is fucked' 'Significant lower targets being touted' 'Why hold bitcoin when equities are outperforming' Several failed attempts to find acceptance below the Feb lows so far with very heavy selling delta at the lows being absorbed thus far. Another push lower that takes recent lows, fails, and accepts back inside would have me leaning towards a long rotation (possible 3 drives setup) - given theres no geo-pol / macro or tradfi spill over next week... maybe there is? If anything, I’m looking for reasons to fully cover the swing short here and contemplate longs. Heads or Tails... ? Range bound for longer or expansion lower ? You tell me...$BTC Update from last week Was 57s it... ? Started chipping into longs after today's failed auction below the lows. The continued inability to find acceptance beneath the 2024 value area low remains constructive for considering longs until proven otherwise. Still a decent amount of stacked supply up above to work through yet... Overall I'm looking to trade the 2024 range value area / rotational trade with the poc as the 1st objective.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 61604.62 / 60129.4 − 1 = +2.45%d × r = +2.45% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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