Published 2 Jul 2026, 13:24 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
'In 2029, we'll look back and wish we've bought more #Bitcoin at $69,000.' The markets must bottom out at $40,000 for #Bitcoin. The markets should be going to bottom in October, because that's the 4-year cycle bottom. Yes, it could happen. Definitely. The one thing I've learned from trading the markets is that the consensus trade doesn't necessarily happen. If everyone expects a certain event to happen, the opposite usually takes place. Why would you risk the bet to be selling your Bitcoin here in order to be potentially buying back lower at $40,000? All the on-chain indicators have flashed that the markets are hitting the same metrics as at bear market bottoms in previous cycles. This cycle: we've had a new ATH prior to the halving. We've also had a peak on BTC/Gold in December '24, different than the BTC/USD bottom. The markets have become unpredictable and I think that thinking in scenarios makes a lot of sense. Michael Saylor's STRC is safe. It bounced back up 30% since the announcement of the Digital Credit Framework. I don't expect another tumble down, and given that there are many technical indicators signalling that there's a reversal on the horizon, I can only say that buying Bitcoin in these ranges is a phenomenal opportunity.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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