Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoKaleo / 2072720003896401957:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jul 2026, 16:32 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

Cr

K A L E O

@CryptoKaleo

#Ethereum / ethereum:native still accumulating beneath the HTF s/r flip. Expect a move down near $1K to retest 2022 lows prior to running it back to the highs. https://t.co/0WBD08lweC

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,698 at 2 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,732 at 3 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1731.99 / 1698.09 − 1 = +2.00%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.00% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Ethereum / ethereum:native still accumulating beneath the HTF s/r flip.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$1,698

Evaluation price

$1,732

Move

+2.00%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 21:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction