Published 5 Jul 2026, 15:13 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:28 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 8 Jun 2026, 16:52 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC For the time being, Bitcoin is treating the orange 200-week SMA as support But the 2022 cycle showcases how unreliable of a support this 200-week SMA can be at this very moment in the cycle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/BiXGnPMvgN https://t.co/e9jO0WGmm2#BTC Bitcoin has deviated below the 200-week SMA, proving how unreliable a support this SMA can be In saying that, it's important to also mention that the 200-week SMA can also act as an unreliable resistance in the early phases of such a macro deviation Bitcoin is therefore likely to continue experiencing relief throughout July and so a brief reclaim of the 200-week SMA wouldn't be out of the ordinary to enable that limited relief-focused upside After that and over time however, Bitcoin would once again breakdown from the 200-week SMA to perform a deeper macro deviation below it to search of the final Bear Market bottom $BTC #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 64070.92 / 62686.17 − 1 = +2.21%d × r = -2.21% against a neutral band of ±5.18% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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