Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jul 2026, 20:33 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

If Michael Saylor selling 3,600 $BTC is going to cause an upwards move on the markets. I don't know what would bring the markets down to $40,000.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “If Michael Saylor selling 3,600 $BTC is going to cause an upwards move on the markets.”
Confidence: 45%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (45%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3